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3G doesn't need nuclear reactor

April 12, 2003

A discussion arose several weeks ago about how much energy the Swedish 3G network will require. Professor Erik Dahlquist from Mälardalen University, who had previously done some preliminary calculations on the energy requirements, recently met Ericsson experts to learn more about the technical foundation for mobile systems.

It was generally agreed that the 3G network, when it is completely deployed with full coverage, will use about 0.6 TWh/year. That is less than one-tenth of the 6.4 TWh an average Swedish nuclear reactor delivers each year and currently less than one-half percent of the country's total annual electricity consumption. With six million subscribers, that is equivalent to a per-subscriber amount of less than what a 60-Watt light bulb burns for six hours a day.

Dahlquist believes that development will be similar to that experienced by the PC industry, where performance increased by up to 10,000 times in 15 years in frequency as well as hard disk capacity. That may mean changes raising signal capacity by 1,000 times within 10-15 years. New technology will hopefully enable large, moving pictures to be sent between subscribers, where large, thin and soft screens are connected to mobile phones via Bluetooth, for example.

Communicating effectively via media could reduce business travel. A small picture that is 5 cm x 5 cm wouldn't be enough, but if a picture is at least as large as a 20 cm screen, facial expressions and gestures can be seen. Then communication in this manner can replace many physical meetings. Good sound quality is naturally important as well. Companies can save a great deal of money with this type of good communication. Today, a trip to Australia for one or two meetings can take one week, and it can cost about 5,000 US$. Avoiding travel time can help saving huge amount of money, The company expert can attend ten telephone meetings instead during the same week, along with local company representatives, who can take care of the social contact with customers.

This will also make it possible to arrange faster service all over the world. Finding problems in computer programs, for example, is a need that is increasing exponentially. Today it is both ineffective and expensive to take long service trips, and it is difficult to gain confidence when one tries to sell products from Europe to the United States etc. Customers don't believe that they can get service quick enough when it is needed. With new communications within mobile telephony and more, sales can be trustworthy in terms of service all over the world.

Dahlquist's calculation showed a result of 5-7 TWh/year for a system with 1000 times higher signal capacity, with the assumption that one can develop technology in base stations and radio transmitters while simultaneously increasing the capacity of networks. Improvements like more effective electronics, better radio transmitters, fewer dropped signals etc, show why it should be possible to keep the total electricity usage at the same levels as in the introduction phase, about 0.5 - 1 TWh/year for GSM as well as 3G, despite the substantially increased signal capacity. Dahlquist agrees that this is not impossible by any means.

Ericsson believes that it is possible in the long-term to keep the total electricity consumption on the same level as in the introduction phase despite a significantly higher amount of information transferred. Reliable knowledge about this technology's potential supports that belief. In addition, there are life-cycle assessments on a number of system generations including GSM and the coming 3G systems. The assessments show that energy use per subscriber has shrunk by more than five times during the past 15 years.

Increased transfer capacity has historically been accompanied by reduced energy usage. To take the PC-case for example again: Energy consumption has stopped increasing or even decreased despite the fantastic functional improvement that Dahlquist describes. A more relevant example is mobile telephones, which in ten years have shrunk to one-fourth their weight and increased standby-time by 15 times, while the number of functions and quality of services have improved significantly. This is partially thanks to better batteries. But improving energy efficiency as part of development within digital technology is just as important, and by all accounts it will continue.

Other factors must be considered as well. Energy requirements are not directly related to the amount of transferred information. For example, capacity doubles when a new unit is placed in an existing 3G base station. At the same time, the base station's normal energy requirement increases from about 1.9 kW to about 2.5 kW, an increase by only one-third. Existing power, cooling and cabinets are widely used when capacity is increased.

Similar economies of scale can be found elsewhere. When networks are deployed, certain areas' main requirement is for surface area coverage. In other, highly populated areas, the need to transfer large amounts of information is a deciding factor. Where base stations are located close to each other, full effect is not needed. Complementary installments will occur mostly in areas with high base station density.

 


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M-Profits: Making Money from 3G Services
ISBN: 0470847751
This book discusses 3G services from the view of what is needed for the service to provide value to the user, what is the value proposition for the user, how will money be made out of delivering the service, and discussions on how revenue sharing propositions might work to benefit content providers and network operators. 3G operators should take note of this highly recommended book.

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