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Hutchison Whampoa may be downgraded due to 3G

March 29, 2003

Hong Kong's Hutchison Whampoa, may have its credit downgraded by rating agencies with the groups uncontrollable 3G spending.

Eden Wong, telecom credit analyst at ING Financial Markets in Hong Kong, said, "The company will continue to spend more on 3G, leading to a deterioration of its financial profile, which will lead to a downgrade."

One of the main reason is that Hutchison's gamble on 3G remains a looming presence for investors worried that the untried 3G business could flop.

Hutchison Whampoa announced a US$4.2 billion saving on 3G equipment cost last week but with US$16.7 billion planned for its 3G networks, it is a mere dent in costs if the technology doesn't get the subscribers it needs, analysts said.

Hutchison reported that it has signed up 50,000 customers in Italy and 10,000 in the UK during the first month of operation, Hutchison will have a long way to go before it reaches the intended target of one million users by the end of the year. The operator started accepting orders at the beginning of March through the web and retail channels and is now starting to deliver handsets to users.

The group hoped to pour an extra £1billion into the UK 3G venture with partners NTT DoCoMo and KPN Mobile. But KPN declined to raise more cash for the venture, leading Hutchison to bridge the funding gap. DoCoMo, Japan's largest mobile carrier, has already written down its costly UK 3G investment.

After two years of delays in the launch process due to teething technical glitches and high handset prices, there are too many uncertain events, which does not ease investors' concerns.

"Hutchison still has a lot of event-risk associated with it [3G]," said Alan Greene, credit analyst at Barclay's Capital and added "We're far from convinced about the success of 3G."

 


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