U.S. Wireless Industry Expected to Focus on Near Generation Instead of 3G

date: November 21, 2001

Growing structural problems in the U.S. wireless industry will force a dramatic change in the priorities of carriers, manufacturers and users, according to Alexander Resources, a research, consulting and education firm specializing in wireless communications. As a result, carriers, manufacturers and users will turn to "Near Generation" wireless services, systems, devices, and technologies to improve revenue, profitably and customer satisfaction.

Ongoing research by Alexander has identified four major near-term problems that promise to dominate the U.S. wireless industry over the next five years: difficult economic climate, uncertainty over demand for new wireless services, spectrum shortages and consumer security and quality demands. These problems will force carriers to focus almost exclusively on what Alexander describes as Near Generation software and hardware systems and solutions. Near Generation systems and solutions improve utilization of existing infrastructures, networks, standards, and business assets, lower costs, increase throughput and capacity of existing spectrum, and improve access to existing information systems and services.

Alexander has developed the term "Near Generation" wireless to describe these solutions and to differentiate them from Next Generation (3G Wireless). Implementation of "Near Generation" wireless will precede 3G wireless. Alexander forecasts a significant demand for existing and emerging Near Generation wireless solutions over the next five years.

- Services: information, location and messaging under 64 Kbps
- Systems: cross platform, device agnostic and information systems/gateways that provide access to a variety of private, corporate, public databases and the Internet
- Devices: Smartphones, wireless PDAs and wireless laptops
- Technologies: GPRS, 1xRTT, EDGE, software-defined radios, and smart antennas

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