Motorola believes 3G will not reach Europe until 2004

date: October 27, 2001

Kevin Loosemore, European president of Motorola said on Thursday it believed it could take until 2004 before a mass market for WCDMA wireless telephony starts to develop in Europe.

This is in line with expectations of most analysts, but a year later than forecasts from market leaders Ericsson of Sweden, and Nokia of Finland and two years later than NEC of Japan.

The longer it takes before 3G networks start operating, the longer it will take for these companies to start generating revenues and profits from their investments.

``There's a significant percentage chance it will be later than 2003,'' said Kevin Loosemore, when asked when he sees a large commercial launch in Europe.

``We'll go through a phase of many trials and experiments in which operators will iron out the bugs. The 3G standards aren't even finalized yet,'' said Loosemore, who is also responsible for Motorola's infrastructure business.

``In Spain (the license to operate a 3G network requires) operators will have to demonstrate voice call capability (over a 3G network) between two major cities by June 2002. But will they be running it as a large scale commercial network? I suspect not,'' Loosemore said.

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