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Right combination of technology will drive wireless data

October 24, 2005

An optimal blend of OFDM and CDMA technologies, implemented across local and wide area networks, will spur growth in wireless data and content for enterprises and consumers. That is one of the conclusions of the newly updated 52-page report, Hard Numbers and Experts' Insights on Migration to Evolved 3G and 4G Wireless Technology, released today by Rysavy Research and Datacomm Research Company.

"CDMA will be the dominant mobile technology for the next several years, but 3G systems alone will prove unable to meet burgeoning demand," said Peter Rysavy, President of Rysavy Research and the report's author. "A precise mix of technologies and business models is needed to unleash the mobile information and entertainment markets," he added.

Hard Numbers and Experts' Insights on Migration to Evolved 3G and 4G Wireless Technology has been updated to reflect developments such as evolved 3G standardization efforts, Qualcomm's acquisition of Flarion, creation of smart base station antennas, the commercialization of MIMO-OFDM, construction of mobile broadcast networks, and the latest device innovations. The report quantifies the performance of 3G, evolved 3G and WiMAX networks; presents the expected gains from techniques such as MIMO; and examines the applications best served by various wireless technologies based on usage models and bandwidth requirements.

Additional conclusions found in Hard Numbers and Experts' Insights on Migration to Evolved 3G and 4G Wireless Technology:

1) With more than 2 billion wireless subscribers globally, no single wireless technology can satisfy all market needs. Different networks are needed to provide optimal service indoors and outdoors, to portable PCs and handsets, and for listeners/viewers and content creators. Making diverse networks readily available to customers will require creative operator alliances.

2) The report shows the dramatic decline in subscribers that 3G networks can support as users adopt broadband services. The only way to support more broadband users is to offload multimedia traffic onto mobile broadcast networks and to employ more densely deployed wireless networks whether 3G, WiMAX or Wi-Fi.

3) WiMAX can succeed, but only if vendors execute perfectly. WiMAX must become the global standard for a wide range of fixed, nomadic, and backhaul applications. In mobile markets, WiMAX operators must employ low-cost, high-density base station architectures to deliver superior capacity and in-building penetration.

4) Smart base station antenna systems and MIMO both offer a path to enhanced wide area network performance. The 3G and WiMAX communities must aggressively pursue these improvements.

Hard Numbers and Experts' Insights on Migration to Evolved 3G and 4G Wireless Technology is the latest in Datacomm Research's CompetitiveEdge family of reports.

 

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