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3G's little dark secrets

September 15, 2003 - source: ARCchart

Hutchison’s March launch of 3G services across several European countries may have suggested that the technical challenges of deploying a W-CDMA network in the real world have been surmounted. This is far from the truth, and many GSM carriers continue to delay the start of their 3G offering while they iron out operability issues associated with W-CDMA. To compound this, operators are testing their networks to different versions of the UMTS standard, making interoperability and handset production difficult, and our experience with Hutchison’s UK network suggest that the infamous 3G-2G network handover problem has not gone away. Along with CAPEX purse tightening, these technical hurdles are the main reasons behind the continued delays plaguing the industry. We are unlikely to see widespread commercial availability of W-CDMA networks in Europe before 2005 – five years after 3G licenses were first auctioned.

The world’s two most popular 2G cellular standards, CDMA and GSM, have very different migration paths towards 3G. The third generation endgame for CMDA is CDMA 1xEV-DO and 1xEV-DV while most GSM operators are evolving towards the UMTS version of W-CDMA. Unlike the advanced versions of CDMA, which an operator can add through an equipment upgrade, W-CDMA requires an entirely new network to be overlaid. While a number of cellular carriers have already brought CDMA 1xEV-DO services around the world, Hutchison’s launch in March of this year marked the appearance of the first commercial UMTS network (Japan’s NTT DoCoMo launched 3G a year earlier but it is using a home grown flavour of W-CDMA known as FOMA). This suggests the technical problems that have plagued the W-CDMA standard have finally been resolved; but this is far from the truth. CAPEX budget restrictions still remain a significant delaying factor, as do the operator’s continued uncertainty of their customers' enthusiasm for high-speed cellular data services. However, operators intending to launch W-CDMA services are still battling some serious operational issues as these networks are constructed.

Compatibility issues remain across the W-CDMA hardware being pushed by the various equipment vendors, and the ways in which the operators themselves are implementing this equipment are further compounding the problem. In a recent report, Deutsche Bank highlighted the practical implications of these problems. Currently, most mobile networks operators (MNOs) and vendors are testing their equipment against the March 2002 version of the UTMS standard. However, according to Orange, the changes incorporated into the December 2002 version are essential to be able to swap a handset between a W-CDMA and GSM network – a handover. Furthermore, most of the UMTS community has decided to launch commercial networks against the March 2003 version which includes even more changes. Deutsche Bank points out that, while each version is supposed to be backward compatible, there is no guarantee this will actually occur in practice. Handsets built to a previous version may not work properly when the new version is deployed in the network infrastructure.

This perhaps explains why handset manufactures have been so reluctant to bring UMTS handsets to market, fearing that their devices will become obsolete as newer networks come online. Nokia and Sony Ericsson both have launched 3G devices but Motorola and NEC are the only two vendors with volume UMTS handsets on the market at the moment.

The disjointed testing of networks against a moving standard version is hampering the solution to one of the most difficult aspects of W-CDMA network deployment – the famous 3G to 2G handover. When someone travels along a motorway or walks along a street, their handset will move from one cell coverage area to another. When this occurs, there needs to be a handover, where responsibility for communicating with the phone switches from the base station in one cell to the base station in another cell. The handover is essentially what makes a mobile network mobile.

Even in a pure 2G network the handover is a very complex process. Signal strength and base station availability must be determined before the call can be switched over. The W-CDMA-GSM handover involves an additional layer of complexity since the two technologies must be able to cross communicate. Also, the nature of the 3G services being used (voice, video or data) on the 3G terminal prior to the handover needs to be determined and satisfactorily implemented on the 2G network.

It is no secret that operators have been struggling to implement this feature on their nascent W-CDMA networks before they go commercial. However, our experience with Hutchison’s network in the UK suggests that the operator has not been able to solve this problem before going live with its network. Using the NEC e606 handset and moving outside of a 3G coverage area, we have been unable to observe a seamless handover – calls have been dropped every time.

According to Deutsche Bank, none of the handsets currently offered by Hutchison support “compression mode” – a necessary feature for the W-CDMA-GSM handover. This explains our handover results but the fact that Hutchison has gone commercial without this functionality will raise a few eyebrows. To the company’s credit, it did launch with almost 60 percent population coverage in the UK and covered the main transportation corridors, minimising the need for 3G/2G handovers. However, it is unlikely that the established operators will be prepared to take such quality of service risks. For example, Vodafone is demanding a 95 percent call completion rate before it will bring its W-CDMA network to market.

These technical hurdles, combined with operators’ increasing desire to squeeze revenue from their existing 2G and 2.5G assets, mean that we are unlikely to see any more commercial W-CDMA operations launch this year. Networks will go live next year in the major cellular markets like the UK, Italy and Germany, but it will not be until 2005 when we see widespread commercial availability of W-CDMA networks in Europe – five years after 3G licenses were first auctioned.

 


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last updated: January 12, 2004

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