Visant Strategies world mobile subscriber report
September 27, 2005
Mobile operators and vendors will benefit throughout the decade no matter if they are pursuing low-end or high-end mobile strategies, according to a new Visant Strategies study. The worldwide mobile subscriber base will continue to grow through 2010 as wireless networks globally evolve into a number of long-envisioned air-interface roadmaps, the study finds.
By 2010 there will be over 2.3 billion individual wireless subscribers worldwide, according to "World Mobile Subscriber Markets 2005," with 1.1 billion of those subs using 3G services.
"What we are seeing today is not only the growth and use of high-speed mobile networks, but also continued significant growth in second-tier and third-tier wireless markets," said study author Larry Swasey. "In the top markets 3G has been implemented, viable high-speed handsets are being shipped in quantities and users are signing up for high-speed data services. In other areas success is due to simple voice and data strategies where mobile is being used instead of implementing a wireless local loop."
WCDMA, HSDPA and EDGE systems each will garner hundreds of million of subscribers by 2010, according to the study, while CDMA systems will also hold hundreds of millions of subscribers globally. GSM/GPRS subscribers will still number over a billion in 2010, the study finds.
"While WCDMA, HSDPA, EDGE and CDMA will satisfy high-speed voice, data and content needs as well as capacity wants, there will still be a very large use of GSM/GPRS as operators in many markets look to meet simpler voice and data needs," Swasey said. Emerging handset initiatives will play a pivotal role in these same areas, providing access to subscribers of all income levels.
The study quantifies mobile wireless subscribers by region and air-interface through 2010. It also provides the number of 3G high-speed data users and NGN users by region through 2010. Also discussed within the report is which operators and nations have had and will continue to have the largest influence on the direction of the mobile market as well as the paths of each air-interface within each region and key nation.
 |